BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Stephen F. Austin
Class: 1B Class Rank: 55 Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength = 107.45
Conference: ASUN-Western Atheltic Conference Record: (0-7) | District: 1B-01 Record: (3-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 124.02 30 48 1A 38 ( 11- 3) Troy 16.57 * -34.57
2 09/09/2023 Home W 118.18 38 10 1B 97 ( 7- 4) Alcorn St 10.73 17.27
3 09/16/2023 Away W 125.31 41 7 1B 111 ( 0- 6) Northwestern St 17.85 16.15
4 09/23/2023 Home L * 117.21 20 22 1B 12 ( 9- 3) Austin Peay 9.76 -11.76
5 09/30/2023 Home W 117.64 56 27 1B 105 ( 1- 9) TAMU-Commerce 10.18 18.82
6 10/07/2023 Away L * 99.48 31 37 1B 64 ( 2- 9) Utah Tech -7.97 1.97
7 10/14/2023 Away L * 116.50 21 24 1B 24 ( 7- 4) Central Arkansas 9.05 -12.05
8 10/21/2023 Home L * 99.20 27 34 1B 50 ( 5- 6) Abilene Christian -8.25 1.25
9 11/04/2023 Away L * 75.12 17 59 1B 30 ( 8- 3) Tarleton St -32.33 -9.67
10 11/11/2023 Home L * 87.24 17 45 1B 23 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah -20.21 -7.79
11 11/18/2023 Away L * 102.09 24 36 1B 36 ( 5- 6) Eastern Kentucky -5.37 -6.63
Averages 107.45 29.3 31.7
Best game: 125.31 = 34 point win over Northwestern St
Worst game: 75.12 = 42 point loss to Tarleton St
Team stdev: 16.13